🟢 GREEN · BACKTESTED 65% WR / +1.74% avg 5d
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Green = backtested + passed. Ran 6-month walk-forward over 11 tickers with the exact live rules. Result: 20 LONG signals, 65% win rate, +1.74% avg 5-day return, +3.73% avg 20-day return. Beats SPY buy-and-hold expectancy. Cleared the ≥55% WR AND ≥+0.5% avg bar. Safe to trade with normal position sizing. See backtest_breakout.py in the repo for exact methodology.
⚪ LIVE EVIDENCE · auto-logs every GREEN signal + tracks outcome
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Forward Tracker auto-logs every GREEN signal that fires (currently Breakout Alerts) and records the actual 5-day and 20-day price outcomes. After 30 days you'll have real live-trading evidence to compare against the backtest baseline (65% WR / +1.74% avg 5d). If live WR stays within ±5pp of backtest — the signal is holding up. If live drifts materially below — there's regime change and we need to re-backtest. Cron logs every 15 min during market hours.
🔵Filters & ContextBacktested filter (BREAKOUT sub-signal only) · use with actionable signals1 filter▾
🟢 GREEN (BREAKOUT sub-signal only) · BACKTESTED 55.2% WR / +0.64% avg 5d
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1H Matrix backtest results (6mo, 734 signals): the BREAKOUT sub-classification passes the threshold: 55.2% WR, +0.64% avg 5d across 248 signals. Use BREAKOUT signals as a filter for Breakout Alerts — when Breakout Alerts fires WITH a 1H BREAKOUT confirmation on the same ticker/direction, that's higher-quality entry. The FADE_EXTREME sub-classification FAILED backtest (48.6% WR, -0.22% avg over 486 signals — loses money) so it's demoted to reference-only — do not trade fade signals. Overall widget shows both classifications; only trust the BREAKOUT rows.
🔴 RED · NOT BACKTESTED · DO NOT TRADE ALONE
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Red = signal-shaped widget, but no backtest evidence of edge. The 5-condition detector fires setups that look actionable but have not been validated. Treat as diagnostic — useful for study, not trade decisions. Backtest is queued. Move to Yellow once validated.
⚪ INFO · Post-4pm session recap
🔴 RED · BACKTEST FAILED · DO NOT TRADE
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10 AM Confluence Alerts backtest results (6mo, 85 signals): failed threshold. All signals: 47.1% WR, +0.23% avg 5d (below 55% WR bar). HIGH conviction subset: 53.8% WR / +1.59% avg (n=13, marginal but sub-threshold). The 3-of-4 voting mechanic didn't produce edge over the last 6 months on this watchlist. Kept visible as reference/study — do not use for entry decisions. Backtest uses proxy sub-signals (see backtest_confluence.py) so exact production numbers may differ slightly, but the direction of failure is clear enough.
🔴 RED · NOT BACKTESTED · DO NOT TRADE ALONE
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Red = signal-shaped widget without backtest evidence. Brooks Setup Radar fires 7-gate setup detections that look actionable but have not been validated over a walk-forward window. Use as reference for what Brooks would say, not as an entry trigger. Backtest is queued.
⚪ INFO · Swings & patterns
⚪ INFO · EMA discipline
⚪ INFO · Measured move projections
Tip: Click any symbol at the top to switch — all widgets refresh instantly. See the “How to Use” panel above for the full playbook. Options data is 15-min delayed from CBOE; price action is real-time from Polygon.